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I think some investors were disappointed but it is the right move to take the time to release a solid product." That is why we are more confident it will be high quality than that it will release on time. " led many to think that GTA 6 would launch in fiscal 2025, Take-Two’s fiscal 2025 starts in April 2024 and ends in March 2025, so there were already signals pointing to a release date in 2025."ĭFC Intelligence CEO David Cole adds: "Rockstar makes sure to take time to get right. Others are less surprised, with Newzoo market analysts pointing to that $8 billion in net bookings that Take-Two forecast for fiscal 2025 earlier this year. GTA 6 is expected to follow in its forebear's footsteps and set new records for the industry Jijiashvili confirms Omdia had expected GTA to arrive in 2024, and the reveal of its 2025 launch will "negatively impact console market revenues for the next year." Few titles could directly affect the performance of the global industry by shifting from one year into another, but Grand Theft Auto is undeniably among them. The broader takeaway from GTA 6's reveal, and specifically the launch window Rockstar is aiming for, is the potential impact on the rest of the games market. But even boxed sales will be dramatic and should beat any other boxed title released over the past few years."īloch adds that the Vice City setting will help, since the original 2002 PS2 game is still the third biggest-selling SKU in the series, beaten only by the Xbox 360 and PS3 versions of GTA 5. "I expect GTA 6 to easily beat the records set by GTA 5, with a mix of digital direct sales (data that I don’t have access to) and boxed. Plus a potential official console bundle at launch. The above figures come from GfK's senior insight client director Dorian Bloch, who says: "Take-Two has a knack of maximising sales on current platforms and by the time GTA 6 rolls around, we’ll be looking at serious installs across PS5 and Xbox Series consoles. The game also holds the record for the biggest week one sales, taking £94 million in just five days back in 2013 – the same as GTA 4 managed during its entire lifecycle. Looking at the UK market alone, GTA 5's boxed sales of nearly nine million is significantly more than double the lifetime sales of any other physical release. With 190 million units sold worldwide, one need only look at the performance of GTA 5 to know how well its long-awaited successor is likely to perform. "Thanks to the mid-gen console launches in 2024, and more current-gen consoles in the hands of gamers overall, Omdia forecasts an installed base of 142 million current-gen PlayStation and Xbox consoles by the end of 2025, up 26% over 2024." Jijiashvili emphasises that the wait until 2025 will not have a negative impact on GTA 6's sales. "Even in the best-case scenario, they won’t be able to meaningfully boost the entire market " George Jijiashvili, Omdia Omdia's senior principal analyst George Jijiashvili agrees, adding: "It’s clear that Rockstar Games is poised to meet the sky-high expectations set for this eagerly awaited sequel… With such anticipation and Rockstar's track record, we expect GTA 6 to perform exceptionally well upon release in 2025, likely becoming one of the highest-selling games of the decade." "The potential is certainly there, the only question is how high the ceiling is." "Grand Theft Auto 6 will likely carry the expectation of being the biggest entertainment launch of all time when it is released," Mat Piscatella, executive director and video games industry analyst at Circana (formerly NPD), tells. Not that this has diminished expectations for how well Rockstar's blockbuster will perform when it finally arrives, of course. The one-two punch of the next GTA and the anticipated launch of a new Nintendo console would have bolstered the global games market in 2024, and deliver a more positive year compared to 2022's decline (at least compared to the COVID years) and 2023's marginal growth.īut, as we learned yesterday, GTA 6 will not launch on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X and S until 2025. There were hopes and expectations that Grand Theft Auto 6 would release in 2024. Sign up for the GI Daily here to get the biggest news straight to your inbox